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Alfred Hermida: 2012 will be the year social media gets boring

…And that’s when social media will also get really interesting.
Editor’s Note: We’re wrapping up 2011 by asking some of the smartest people in journalism what the new year will bring.

Here’s news pioneer Alfred Hermida, a founder of BBCnews.com and currently an associate professor at the University of British Columbia School of Journalism.

I am always hesitant to make predictions, but 2012 may just the year that social media starts to get boring. And this is a good thing.

Bear with me while I explain. Social media is largely still seen as a new, shiny entrant into the world of media.

As with all new communication technologies, there are those who argue social media is changing everything, creating a more open and democratic media space. Others take a diametrically opposed viewpoint. For them, social media just offers new ways to do old things.

Both are right and wrong at the same time. There is no doubt that social media technologies do offer new affordances, creating an open, networked, and distributed media ecosystem at odds with the one-way, broadcast model of mass media that dominated the 20th century.

At the same time, history shows us how dominant institutions, be they governments or media conglomerates, appropriate new technologies and cancel out some of their innovative potential.

The problem is how we frame new technologies. There is always a degree of hype that greets a new technology; we’ve seen it in talk of Twitter revolutions and Facebook uprisings.

Initially we are enchanted by the novelty of what these tools and services enable us to do: upload funny videos, post updates of our lunch, and share links to worthy articles.

Technologies reach their full potential when we forgot about the novelty. Instead they become boring and blend into the background. How often do we think about the technology behind the telephone, or the television set in our living room?

With any luck, this is what will happen with social media. Social media tools and services will be so ingrained within our everyday experiences that we forget that they are such recent developments.

Essentially, the technology will become invisible as we shape it to meet our political, social, and cultural needs.

Mediated sociability will be with us at all times, no matter what we are doing. Arguably, for younger adults, this is already happening. Facebook is part of their lives, just like the telephone is simply there.

For journalists, what this means is that social media will become part of everyday routines. Facebook or Twitter won’t be simply add-ons, but an inherent component of the media environment for journalists.

                                   
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  • http://twitter.com/russellcavanagh Russell Cavanagh

    I agree. I think that as the net is filled exponentially with more static – some worth exploring and much else ignored – we will all be at risk of overload and losing focus. Essentially, it will continue to be about developing communities and producing content of interest for them – and a presence on Twitter or Facebook will not be a substitute for showing real life experience.

    Thanks for your insightful post. 8-)

  • http://thefuturebuzz.com AdamSinger

    If social media is “seen as new” as you note, it means you’re very late. This stuff is well over a decade old. I already think for the well-connected individual it is as you describe. This isn’t something happening in 2012, it’s already happened.

  • http://www.reallyeasycart.co.uk/ Ecommerce

    Social media icons play such a huge role in driving traffic to your blog or website. Most web designers today know the importance of using these social networks.

  • Anonymous

    The key here is the technology that allows for social media to run in the background. Sharing a show you like and commenting about it while you watch your 3D social TV or using the new Ford Technologies to send voice texts and tweets. As much as I agree with you large enterprise and government will still need to build the platforms and the apps that allow this to happen. It’s happening for sure.. but it’s only beginning.

    Look internationally and we see India, Brazil, and many African countries embracing the tools… and they are very new to them. Not disagreeing on your hypothesis – I just think it will be 36 months before it’s mainstream in North America and Europe.