Okay, I didn’t do so well with my 2020 predictions. I was wrong that fact-checkers would win a Nobel Prize. And no, Brad Pitt and Charlize Theron didn’t star in a movie about fact-checking, nor did Taylor Swift make it the focus of a hit song that she performed at the Super Bowl.
But there was a lot of fact-checking in 2020! Indeed, there was an avalanche of Pinocchios and Pants on Fire ratings, plus tremendous growth in embedded fact-checks, the practice when reporters assess claims right in their news stories with words such as “baseless” or “unfounded.” And during the presidential debates, a few outlets (including PolitiFact, the website I started) had promising results with experiments in live on-screen fact-checking.
Still, I’m going to be more realistic with my 2021 predictions. I think the future of fact-check journalism is all about structured data.
Sound a little dull? It’s actually an idea that has been around for a while. It goes back to 2006, when a visionary journalist-developer named Adrian Holovaty wrote an essay titled “A fundamental way newspaper sites need to change,” which made the case that journalism would be more valuable presented in structured form, like data. The essay caught the imagination of Matt Waite, my collaborator at PolitiFact, and it inspired us both.
The journalism-as-structured-data revolution succeeded in a few places, like PolitiFact and Chris and Laura Amico’s Homicide Watch, but it hasn’t succeeded on a broad scale. Journalists are storytellers accustomed to an old story form, and they’ve had trouble adapting their work to a structured approach.
But suddenly the time is right for structured journalism, because our chaotic battle over misinformation is a perfect opportunity to take advantage of fact-checking as data. Liars say the same things over and over, which makes the fact-check we wrote last week or last month valuable for an extended period. So if fact-checkers add some simple tags to index their articles, search engines and other platforms can match the lie with the correction.
Five years ago, my team at the Duke Reporters’ Lab worked with Google, Jigsaw, and Schema.org to create just such a product, a tagging system we called ClaimReview. Most fact-checkers around the world now add ClaimReview tags to their articles and then Google and YouTube and Facebook — and anyone — can find those 70,000 fact-checks through an open database.
I think of it as the hidden plumbing of fact-checking that makes it easier to get facts about falsehoods.
ClaimReview was big in 2020. YouTube used it to highlight fact-checks in its search results. Google, which uses ClaimReview for search results and Google News, said users saw more than 4 billion fact-checks in its products in the first eight months of the year. Bing also uses ClaimReview, we use it to power our experimental live video app Squash, and it could be a big help to Twitter.
Next year, we’ll be testing a new kind of tagging system for fact-checks of fake videos and images. Our Duke team has been working with fact-checkers and the tech platforms to develop a sibling of ClaimReview that we call MediaReview, which creates a common language to describe deepfakes and other bogus videos and images.
By consistently using terms such as “missing context” and “edited,” the fact-checkers can provide Google, Facebook, Twitter, or any other platform with instant information about what’s false or misleading about a video or image. The platforms can then make quick decisions about what to do with that content — they can reduce its spread, delete it, or leave it alone.
MediaReview isn’t sexy; plumbing rarely is. It’s just structure that will help solve a complex problem. But it will be big in 2021.
And then in 2022, Taylor Swift can write a song about it.
Bill Adair is the founder of PolitiFact and the Knight Professor of Journalism and Public Policy at Duke University.
Okay, I didn’t do so well with my 2020 predictions. I was wrong that fact-checkers would win a Nobel Prize. And no, Brad Pitt and Charlize Theron didn’t star in a movie about fact-checking, nor did Taylor Swift make it the focus of a hit song that she performed at the Super Bowl.
But there was a lot of fact-checking in 2020! Indeed, there was an avalanche of Pinocchios and Pants on Fire ratings, plus tremendous growth in embedded fact-checks, the practice when reporters assess claims right in their news stories with words such as “baseless” or “unfounded.” And during the presidential debates, a few outlets (including PolitiFact, the website I started) had promising results with experiments in live on-screen fact-checking.
Still, I’m going to be more realistic with my 2021 predictions. I think the future of fact-check journalism is all about structured data.
Sound a little dull? It’s actually an idea that has been around for a while. It goes back to 2006, when a visionary journalist-developer named Adrian Holovaty wrote an essay titled “A fundamental way newspaper sites need to change,” which made the case that journalism would be more valuable presented in structured form, like data. The essay caught the imagination of Matt Waite, my collaborator at PolitiFact, and it inspired us both.
The journalism-as-structured-data revolution succeeded in a few places, like PolitiFact and Chris and Laura Amico’s Homicide Watch, but it hasn’t succeeded on a broad scale. Journalists are storytellers accustomed to an old story form, and they’ve had trouble adapting their work to a structured approach.
But suddenly the time is right for structured journalism, because our chaotic battle over misinformation is a perfect opportunity to take advantage of fact-checking as data. Liars say the same things over and over, which makes the fact-check we wrote last week or last month valuable for an extended period. So if fact-checkers add some simple tags to index their articles, search engines and other platforms can match the lie with the correction.
Five years ago, my team at the Duke Reporters’ Lab worked with Google, Jigsaw, and Schema.org to create just such a product, a tagging system we called ClaimReview. Most fact-checkers around the world now add ClaimReview tags to their articles and then Google and YouTube and Facebook — and anyone — can find those 70,000 fact-checks through an open database.
I think of it as the hidden plumbing of fact-checking that makes it easier to get facts about falsehoods.
ClaimReview was big in 2020. YouTube used it to highlight fact-checks in its search results. Google, which uses ClaimReview for search results and Google News, said users saw more than 4 billion fact-checks in its products in the first eight months of the year. Bing also uses ClaimReview, we use it to power our experimental live video app Squash, and it could be a big help to Twitter.
Next year, we’ll be testing a new kind of tagging system for fact-checks of fake videos and images. Our Duke team has been working with fact-checkers and the tech platforms to develop a sibling of ClaimReview that we call MediaReview, which creates a common language to describe deepfakes and other bogus videos and images.
By consistently using terms such as “missing context” and “edited,” the fact-checkers can provide Google, Facebook, Twitter, or any other platform with instant information about what’s false or misleading about a video or image. The platforms can then make quick decisions about what to do with that content — they can reduce its spread, delete it, or leave it alone.
MediaReview isn’t sexy; plumbing rarely is. It’s just structure that will help solve a complex problem. But it will be big in 2021.
And then in 2022, Taylor Swift can write a song about it.
Bill Adair is the founder of PolitiFact and the Knight Professor of Journalism and Public Policy at Duke University.
Samantha Ragland The year of journalists taking initiative
A.J. Bauer The year of MAGAcal thinking
Rasmus Kleis Nielsen Stop pretending publishers are a united front
José Zamora Walking the talk on diversity
Sara M. Watson Return of the RSS reader
Tauhid Chappell and Mike Rispoli Defund the crime beat
Zizi Papacharissi The year we rebuild the infrastructure of truth
Alyssa Zeisler Holistic medicine for journalism
Natalie Meade Journalism enters rehab
Renée Kaplan Falling in love with your subscription
Ray Soto The news gets spatial
Jeremy Gilbert Human-centered journalism
David Chavern Local video finally gets momentum
Andrew Donohue The rise of the democracy beat
Cindy Royal J-school grads maintain their optimism and adaptability
Mariano Blejman It’s time to challenge autocompleted journalism
Kawandeep Virdee Goodbye, doomscroll
Tonya Mosley True equity means ownership
Kate Myers My son will join every Zoom call in our industry
Ashton Lattimore Remote work helps level the playing field in an insular industry
Jim Friedlich A newspaper renaissance reached by stopping the presses
Talmon Joseph Smith The media rejects deficit hawkery
Zainab Khan From understanding to feeling
Jer Thorp Fewer pixels, more cardboard
J. Siguru Wahutu Journalists still wrongly think the U.S. is different
John Saroff Covid sparks the growth of independent local news sites
Bo Hee Kim Newsrooms create an intentional and collaborative culture
Andrew Ramsammy Stop being polite and start getting real
Don Day Business first, journalism second
Hossein Derakhshan Mass personalization of truth
Nisha Chittal The year we stop pivoting
Christoph Mergerson Black Americans will demand more from journalism
Marcus Mabry News orgs adapt to a post-Trump world (with Trump still in it)
Danielle C. Belton A decimated media rededicates itself to truth
Aaron Foley Diversity gains haven’t shown up in local news
Kevin D. Grant Parachute journalism goes away for good
Catalina Albeanu Publish less, listen more
Pia Frey Building growth through tastemakers and their communities
Nicholas Jackson Blogging is back, but better
Delia Cai Subscriptions start working for the middle
Burt Herman Journalists build post-Facebook digital communities
C.W. Anderson Journalism changed under Trump — will it keep changing under Biden?
Bill Adair The future of fact-checking is all about structured data
Nonny de la Pena News reaches the third dimension
Annie Rudd Newsrooms grow less comfortable with the “view from above”
Meredith D. Clark The year journalism starts paying reparations
Rodney Gibbs Zooming beyond talking heads
Shaydanay Urbani and Nancy Watzman Local collaboration is key to slowing misinformation
Marissa Evans Putting community trauma into context
Mandy Jenkins You build trust by helping your readers
Ariane Bernard Going solo is still only a path for the few
Matt DeRienzo Citizen truth brigades steer us back toward reality
Benjamin Toff Beltway reporting gets normal again, for better and for worse
Alfred Hermida and Oscar Westlund The virus ups data journalism’s game
Tamar Charney Public radio has a midlife crisis
Gordon Crovitz Common law will finally apply to the Internet
Nabiha Syed Newsrooms quit their toxic relationships
Kerri Hoffman Protecting podcasting’s open ecosystem
Gabe Schneider Another year of empty promises on diversity
John Ketchum More journalists of color become newsroom founders
Gonzalo del Peon Collaborations expand from newsrooms to the business side
Sam Ford We’ll find better ways to archive our work
Mark Stenberg The rise of the journalist-influencer
Patrick Butler Covid-19 reporting has prepared us for cross-border collaboration
Chase Davis The year we look beyond The Story
Rishad Patel From direct-to-consumer to direct-to-believers
M. Scott Havens Traditional pay TV will embrace the disruption
Jessica Clark News becomes plural
John Garrett A surprisingly good year
María Sánchez Díez Traffic will plummet — and it’ll be ok
Ben Werdmuller The web blooms again
Imaeyen Ibanga Journalism gets unmasked
Pablo Boczkowski Audiences have revolted. Will newsrooms adapt?
Robert Hernandez Data and shame
Candis Callison Calling it a crisis isn’t enough (if it ever was)
Matt Skibinski Misinformation won’t stop unless we stop it
Edward Roussel Tech companies get aggressive in local
Ryan Kellett The bundle gets bundled
Garance Franke-Ruta Rebundling content, rebuilding connections
Michael W. Wagner Fractured democracy, fractured journalism
Logan Jaffe History as a reporting tool
Alicia Bell and Simon Galperin Media reparations now
Jennifer Choi What have we done for you lately?
Sarah Stonbely Videoconferencing brings more geographic diversity
Jean Friedman-Rudovsky and Cassie Haynes A shift from conversation to action
Francesca Tripodi Don’t expect breaking up Google and Facebook to solve our information woes
Tanya Cordrey Declining trust forces publishers to claim (or disclaim) values
Julia Angwin Show your (computational) work
Celeste Headlee The rise of radical newsroom transparency
Cherian George Enter the lamb warriors
Ståle Grut Network analysis enters the journalism toolbox
Nico Gendron Ask your readers to help build your products
Anthony Nadler Journalism struggles to find a new model of legitimacy
Joni Deutsch Local arts and music make journalism more joyous
Laura E. Davis The focus turns to newsroom leaders for lasting change
Mark S. Luckie Newsrooms and streaming services get cozy
Megan McCarthy Readers embrace a low-information diet
Moreno Cruz Osório In Brazil, a push for pluralism
Amara Aguilar Journalism schools emphasize listening
Ernie Smith Entrepreneurship on rails
Tim Carmody Spotify will make big waves in video
Doris Truong Indigenous issues get long-overdue mainstream coverage
Brian Moritz The year sports journalism changes for good
Charo Henríquez A new path to leadership
Taylor Lorenz Journalists will learn influencing isn’t easy
Jennifer Brandel A sneak peak at power mapping, 2073’s top innovation
Nikki Usher Don’t expect an antitrust dividend for the media
Heidi Tworek A year of news mocktails
Eric Nuzum Podcasting dodged a bullet in 2020, but 2021 will be harder
David Skok A pandemic-prompted wave of consolidation
Whitney Phillips Facts are an insufficient response to falsehoods
Steve Henn Has independent podcasting peaked?
Masuma Ahuja We’ll remember how interconnected our world is
Anna Nirmala Local news orgs grasp the urgency of community roots
Colleen Shalby The definition of good journalism shifts
Cory Bergman The year after a thousand earthquakes
Rick Berke Virtual events are here to stay
Kristen Muller Engaged journalism scales
Jody Brannon People won’t renew
Ariel Zirulnick Local newsrooms question their paywalls
Loretta Chao Open up the profession
Janet Haven and Sam Hinds Is this an AI newsroom?
Mike Ananny Toward better tech journalism
Marie Shanahan Journalism schools stop perpetuating the status quo
Sue Cross A global consensus around the kind of news we need to save
Richard Tofel Less on politics, more on how government works (or doesn’t)
AX Mina 2020 isn’t a black swan — it’s a yellow canary
Hadjar Benmiloud Get representative, or die trying
Raney Aronson-Rath To get past information divides, we need to understand them first
Brandy Zadrozny Misinformation fatigue sets in
Stefanie Murray and Anthony Advincula Expect to see more translations and non-English content
Julia B. Chan and Kim Bui Millennials are ready to run things
Jesse Holcomb Genre erosion in nonprofit journalism
Parker Molloy The press will risk elevating a Shadow President Trump
Juleyka Lantigua The download, podcasting’s metric king, gets dethroned
John Davidow Reflect and repent
Sumi Aggarwal News literacy programs aren’t child’s play
Francesco Zaffarano The year we ask the audience what it needs
Beena Raghavendran Journalism gets fused with art
Sarah Marshall The year audiences need extra cheer
Astead W. Herndon The Trump-sized window of the media caring about race closes again
Ben Collins We need to learn how to talk to (and about) accidental conspiracists
Mike Caulfield 2021’s misinformation will look a lot like 2020’s (and 2019’s, and…)
Chicas Poderosas More voices mean better information
Rachel Glickhouse Journalists will be kinder to each other — and to themselves
Rachel Schallom The rise of nonprofit journalism continues
Sonali Prasad Making disaster journalism that cuts through the noise
Jonas Kaiser Toward a wehrhafte journalism
Victor Pickard The commercial era for local journalism is over
Joshua P. Darr Legislatures will tackle the local news crisis
Linda Solomon Wood Canada steps up for journalism
Joanne McNeil Newsrooms push back against Ivy League cronyism