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Key links:
Primary website:
fivethirtyeight.com
Primary Twitter:
@fivethirtyeight

FiveThirtyEight is an American political blog, written by Nate Silver and currently hosted by the New York Times, that analyzes polling data.

Originally, the site was launched anonymously in 2008 after Silver had been posting statistical poll analysis as an anonymous diarist at the liberal blog Daily Kos, beginning in late 2007. Silver revealed his identity in May 2008.

FiveThirtyEight grew quickly during the 2008 election runup, and Silver was acclaimed for remarkably accurate predictions of the 2008 presidential election results.

In August 2010, the New York Times’ began hosting Silver’s blog in an effort to “help New York Times readers cut through the clutter of this data-rich world.” It was rebranded as “FiveThirtyEight: Nate Silver’s Political Calculus”. The hosting was part of a three-year deal in which the Times licensed FiveThirtyEight’s content while also providing editorial guidance. Silver also contributes to the print edition of the Times as well as to the New York Times Magazine.

He has written with mixed feelings on the new Times paywall.

Silver, a baseball statistician, uses advanced statistical techniques and historical data to analyze poll data, including an election projection algorithm based on a baseball projection system he created.

Silver has said he started the site to fill in the gaps in data analysis and understanding among political journalists. During the 2008 election, his co-writer, Sean Quinn, supplemented Silver’s analysis with reporting on local campaign efforts. Currently a number of other statisticians, academics and other professionals contribute occasionally to the blog, which often reaches beyond politics into issues of public importance.

Peers, allies, & competitors:
Recent Nieman Lab coverage:
June 16, 2016 / Ricardo Bilton
For its new personal finance podcast, FiveThirtyEight set up voicemail to hear from listeners — The current presidential election race has been full of big headlines about big politicians talking about big issues. How those big issues actually affect regular people, on the other hand, has often taken the backseat. ...
March 9, 2016 / Joseph Lichterman
The Political TV Ad Archive is making it easier for journalists to report on campaign spots — As the campaign in New Hampshire intensified leading up to the state’s presidential primary, New Hampshire Public Radio reporter Brian Wallstin wanted to understand more about the glut of political ads that were bl...
Feb. 26, 2016 / Joseph Lichterman
Inside ESPN’s mobile strategy: “If we’re thinking about anything else, we’re failing the audience” — ESPN is at a crossroads. Its business model, which has long been dependent on cable subscription fees, is becoming tenuous as more people cut the cord. ESPN president John Skipper said last week that the network is in di...
Feb. 2, 2016 / Nicholas Quah
Hot Pod: Podcasts about podcasts, a new player in sports audio, and a crowded election-podcast space — Welcome to Hot Pod, a newsletter about podcasts. This is Issue Fifty-Eight, published February 2, 2016. First day of fun-employment! Self-employment, I mean. Gotta find a way to make money. FiveThirtyEight enters the ele...
Oct. 30, 2015 / Nieman Lab Staff
ESPN abruptly shuts down Grantland “effective immediately” — Grantland, the sports-and-culture site launched by Bill Simmons for ESPN in 2011, is shutting down, ESPN said in a brief statement on its website Friday afternoon: Effective immediately we are suspending the publication ...

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Primary author: Mark Coddington. Main text last updated: May 11, 2011.
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The Miami Herald is a daily newspaper in Miami owned by The McClatchy Company. The Herald’sĀ average daily print circulation as of fall 2010 was 151,612, plus 22,597 for its daily e-edition. The newspaper reported combined web traffic of 5.9 million monthly unique visitors in fall 2009. The Herald also operates the Spanish-language news organization El…

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