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Key links:
Primary website:
fivethirtyeight.com
Primary Twitter:
@fivethirtyeight

FiveThirtyEight is an American political blog, written by Nate Silver and currently hosted by the New York Times, that analyzes polling data.

Originally, the site was launched anonymously in 2008 after Silver had been posting statistical poll analysis as an anonymous diarist at the liberal blog Daily Kos, beginning in late 2007. Silver revealed his identity in May 2008.

FiveThirtyEight grew quickly during the 2008 election runup, and Silver was acclaimed for remarkably accurate predictions of the 2008 presidential election results.

In August 2010, the New York Times’ began hosting Silver’s blog in an effort to “help New York Times readers cut through the clutter of this data-rich world.” It was rebranded as “FiveThirtyEight: Nate Silver’s Political Calculus”. The hosting was part of a three-year deal in which the Times licensed FiveThirtyEight’s content while also providing editorial guidance. Silver also contributes to the print edition of the Times as well as to the New York Times Magazine.

He has written with mixed feelings on the new Times paywall.

Silver, a baseball statistician, uses advanced statistical techniques and historical data to analyze poll data, including an election projection algorithm based on a baseball projection system he created.

Silver has said he started the site to fill in the gaps in data analysis and understanding among political journalists. During the 2008 election, his co-writer, Sean Quinn, supplemented Silver’s analysis with reporting on local campaign efforts. Currently a number of other statisticians, academics and other professionals contribute occasionally to the blog, which often reaches beyond politics into issues of public importance.

Peers, allies, & competitors:
Recent Nieman Lab coverage:
Nov. 2, 2012 / Mark Coddington
This Week in Review: Truth and lies on Twitter during Sandy, and the pundits vs. Nate Silver — Plus: Lowering paywalls during Sandy, the ongoing fallout from the BBC's sex abuse scandal, and the rest of this week's media and tech reads....
Oct. 31, 2012 / Jonathan Stray
Data, uncertainty, and specialization: What journalism can learn from FiveThirtyEight’s election coverage — Nate Silver's number-crunching blog is perceived as a threat by some traditional political reporters — but its model has lessons for all journalists....
Nov. 2, 2010 / Matt Diaz
It’s election night: Here’s what some news orgs (old & new) have planned — It's election day in the United States, and with election day comes election day coverage. With more media players than ever aiming for their own slice of the audience, here are a few highlights of what they've got plann...
June 3, 2010 / Megan Garber
Articles of incorporation: Nate Silver and Jim Roberts on the NYT’s absorption of FiveThirtyEight — Big news today: Nate Silver and his wonderblog, FiveThirtyEight, are moving on up to The New York Times. Later this summer — probably in early August — FTE’s statistictastic posts will be found in the p...
Nov. 21, 2008 / Joshua Benton
Morning Links: November 21, 2008 — — Nate Silver has some interesting numbers comparing traffic on political web sites at the height of campaign season to today. According to his (somewhat ham-fisted) numbers, The New York Times has kept its traffic...

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Primary author: Mark Coddington. Main text last updated: May 11, 2011.
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