Predictions feel like an odd thing to do, especially when the forecast is greyer and gloomier than the current climate. Nonetheless, I will attempt to provide a prediction about the future of news and journalism in the U.S. and U.K. in 2019. I’ve often been accused of trading in gloom and doom, so in keeping with my reputation as a doom and gloom merchant, 2019 is going to be a struggle for media organizations in both countries.
The one factor tying all of these predictions together is the contraction of democratic space and the political rollercoaster the past few years have been. In one of my favorite tracks (“The Matrimony”) by Wale, Jerry Seinfeld talks of life as a rollercoaster and once you’re at the top, all you can do is scream as you rapidly descend. Partly because you’re not ready for it, and partly because there’s no way to adequately prepare for the drop.
I think the end of 2018 is the top of the rollercoaster track. The descent, which we are not ready for, is going to involve a lot of screaming as we hurtle towards Brexit in 2019 and the 2020 U.S. elections.
Within the traditional media space, we can see the speed with which news and journalism have been co-opted by the state in recent years. In the U.S., after two years of covering the new political dispensation, news organizations have shown breathtaking naiveté in how to approach their new reality. From the constant coverage of every new controversial tweet to Jim Acosta’s banishment from the White House Briefing Room, journalism in the U.S. has continually shown its level of maladroitness in covering an administration that is both hostile to its very existence and adept at manipulating it into covering manufactured crises. In the U.K., we have seen news organizations struggle in their coverage of both Brexit and Facebook’s nefarious activities. One only needs to look at the fascinating work by Carole Cadwalladr (and her twitter timeline, @carolecadwalla) to see how much trouble audiences in the U.K. are in. As the BBC, much like The New York Times, insists on presenting fringe racist and fascist ideas as “worth debating,” we see the expansion of fringe right-wing, racist, sexist, fascist echo chambers into organizations once revered as trustworthy, objective, and models for others to emulate. What we have seen is a steady weaponization of what Whitney Phillips calls “both sides-ism” by savvy fringe voices. In this moment of political crises in both countries, organizations have found themselves either scrambling to make sense of the world using approaches completely not suitable for the current reality or becoming too deferential to the state.
This is only going to get worse in 2019. Lies and factual inaccuracies will be presented as legitimate voices from “the other side.” One only need to look at climate change coverage in both countries, or even the rise of ignoble characters like Richard Spencer and Milo Yiannopoulos (in the U.S.) and Tommy Robinson (in the U.K.). Superfluous nods to “objectivity” will continue to be manipulated by the fringes to make sure they have a voice in legacy media. But perhaps the most disheartening thing will be the fact that the state, in both countries, will continue to use its privileged space in the media ecology to manipulate the narrative construction.
Unless journalists decide to take a stand and rethink the current status quo, 2019 will be darker and gloomier. If you think 2018 was bad, my advice for 2019 is to buckle up, because it’s going to be even bumpier. To audiences, my advice is the maxim caveat emptor. The daily deluge of panic-driven, vacuous, news coverage is about to shift into high gear.
james Wahutu is a fellow at the Berkman Klein Center for Internet and Society at Harvard and will be an assistant professor at NYU in 2019.
Johannes Klingebiel We all grow hooves
Jared Newman AI-generated fakes launch a software arms race
Matthew Pressman The battle over objectivity intensifies
Betsy O'Donovan and Melody Kramer The most beautiful sentence in 2019 is “No.”
Carl Bialik Fatigued news consumers will pay more for less news
Darryl Holliday Let’s talk about power (yours)
AX Mina The death of consensus, not the death of truth
Colleen Shalby Representation becomes more than a talking point
LaToya Drake Listen up: New stories, new storytellers
Mike Rispoli and Craig Aaron Government funds local news — and that’s a good thing
Adam Smith Platforms will have to help rebuild trust in news
Emma Carew Grovum The year of the loyal reader
Robert Hernandez Racists and sexists get replaced
Sue Cross Return of the water cooler
Jesse Holcomb We’ll get better at making the case for local journalism
Sarah Marshall A return to destination journalism
Peter Cunliffe-Jones The focus of misinformation debates shifts south
Glyn Mottershead and Martin Chorley When a tech company pulls the plug on your story
Elite Truong What do we owe the next generation?
Andrew Donohue Voting rights becomes the new climate change
Elizabeth Dunbar Local reporters reflect on what’s not important
Tyler Fisher This is journalism’s do-or-die moment
Becca Aaronson From bridge roles to product thinkers
Francesco Marconi The year of iterative journalism
Tamar Charney Seriously: What do you do for people?
Winny de Jong Data journalism goes undercover
Zainab Khan Publishers whose products can stand up to social media giants will win
Tim Carmody Unlocking the commons
Chase Davis We can acknowledge what we don’t know
Annie Rudd A more intimate aesthetic of politics — on Insta
Rebecca Lee Sanchez We are all actors in the running rampant of political theater
Mike Isaac The old exit doors for digital media companies are closing
Andrew Ramsammy The great re-pivot to audio
Kjerstin Thorson Time to get mad about information inequality (again)
Mario García The rise of content “pilots”
Jonas Kaiser Catching up with “Neuland”
Matt Karolian Publishers come to terms with being Facebook’s enablers
Rodney Gibbs A bright — and young — year for audio
Adam B. Ellick Video forensic reporting goes mainstream — and local
Taylor Lorenz Personal branding is more powerful than ever
A.J. Bauer The coming splintering of conservative media
Jim Friedlich Meet Citizen Kane 2.0
Rasmus Kleis Nielsen A long, slow slog, with no one coming to the rescue
Andrea Faye Hart Doing less harm, not just more good
Sue Robinson Reporters go on the offensive
Francesco Zaffarano Towards a rethinking of journalism on social media
Robin Kwong Tech shouldn’t be the only field pollinating “news nerds”
Pia Frey You can’t solve a crisis without treating it as a crisis
Mandy Jenkins Fight the urge to run away from social media
Don Day Timewalls and other reader revenue experiments
Rubina Madan Fillion Fighting the reality of deepfakes
P. Kim Bui The misfits become the bosses
Ole Reißmann The rise of vertical storytelling
Nico Gendron Reaching Generation Z beyond the coasts
Carrie Brown-Smith Advocating a healthy civic life is no journalistic crime
Hossein Derakhshan The news is dying, but journalism will not — and should not
Ernst-Jan Pfauth Readers are only getting started
Umbreen Bhatti The story doesn’t end for the people we quote
Libby Bawcombe Haikus of the news
Pablo Boczkowski Reimagining the media for post-institutional times
Justin Kosslyn Text hits a tipping point
Cory Bergman Journalism as a technology service
Jonathan Stray More algorithmic accountability reporting, and a lot of it will be meh
Josh Schwartz A pullback from platforms and a focus on product
Carolina Guerrero Spanish-language audio blows up
Julia Rubin Meeting people where they are
Steve Grove A reckoning for tech’s work with news
Nikki Usher Three ways national media will further undermine trust
Joe Amditis Give the audience a seat at the table
Claire Wardle Forget deepfakes: Misinformation is showing up in our most personal online spaces
Jenée Desmond-Harris It finally sinks in that some people aren’t white
Alyssa Zeisler We expand what (and how and who) we serve
Brian Moritz The subscription-pocalypse is about to hit
Shalabh Upadhyay A culture clash on India’s growing Internet
Tushar Banerjee Interactive ads will be the new face of display advertising
Juleyka Lantigua Podcasting battles East Coast bias
Nathalie Malinarich Video — yes, video
Frank Mungeam Tonight at 11: News, sports, and climate change
Mat Yurow Content competition from the tech companies
Whitney Phillips Our information systems aren’t broken — they’re working as intended
Alexis Lloyd & Matt Boggie The year product leads media
Stefanie Murray Local news wakes up and starts collaborating
Elizabeth Jensen Going where the Acela can’t take you
Borja Bergareche Sainz de los Terreros Entering a more balanced era
Salem Solomon Correcting our corrections
Julie Posetti The year of the fight back
Alberto Cairo A year of uncertainty and confidence
Kevin D. Grant A year to embrace journalism as public service
Joshua P. Darr The nationalization of political news will accelerate
Matt Waite “I went to Node.js because I wished to live deliberately”
Laura E. Davis More access, but not that kind
Nicholas Jackson More transparency around newsroom decisions
Steve Myers From trying to cover it all to covering what matters
Callie Schweitzer The rise of the conveners
Soo Oh Just showing our work isn’t enough
Zizi Papacharissi Old interface, say hello to the new interface
J. Siguru Wahutu Think 2018 was bad? Wait until you see 2019
Errin Haines Say it with me: Racism
Masuma Ahuja Make foreign coverage less foreign
Talia Stroud Engaging people across lines of difference
Victor Pickard We will finally confront systemic market failure
Candis Callison Learn from Indigenous journalists on covering climate change
Joanne McNeil Building a digital hospice
Elizabeth Bramson-Boudreau A more sincere definition of “community”
Jennifer Dargan You don’t build diversity through one-off training sessions
Angilee Shah The year news orgs say “yes” to real leaders
Simon Galperin After capitalism’s fire, journalism’s secondary succession
Michael Rain The year of the culturally relevant curator
Angèle Christin Algorithms and the reflexive turn
Cherian George Fake news wins in Asia
Kawandeep Virdee Media wants to take care of you
Kyra Darnton A shift to depth in video
Seema Yasmin We will create our own spaces
Dave Burdick Seeing our blind spots
John Garrett You can’t raise prices forever
Kate Myers Journalism continues to be bad for democracy
Sarah Stonbely Mapping the local news ecosystem — with scale but detail
Amy King We should listen to the kids (especially on Instagram)
Millie Tran There is no magic — you’ve got this
Tshepo Tshabalala Ahead of African elections, unlock partnerships with fact-checkers
Zuzanna Ziomecka News leadership gets an overdue upgrade
Jonathan Gill Publishers build a common tech platform together
Rachel Davis Mersey Local news goes minimalist
Amy Schmitz Weiss Local news isn’t where you thought it was
Kristen Muller Local news fails — in a good way
Mike Caulfield Ditch the media literacy cynicism and get to work
Lauren Katz Community becomes a core newsroom value
Celeste LeCompte Local news needs local conversation to survive
Alexandra Svokos Good luck convincing us millennials to pay
Raney Aronson-Rath We learn “digital” doesn’t have to mean “short”
Greg Emerson Power to the user
Linda Solomon Wood The year of the climate reporter
Logan Molyneux Seeing social media for what it is
Dan Shanoff Bet on sports gambling
Peter Bale Venture capital runs out of patience
Joel Konopo Influencers become the new liberated power in Africa
Ben Werdmuller The platform tide is turning
Cristi Hegranes A year to invest in the security of local journalists
Heather Chaplin Agree we’re partisan — for the democratic system
Jean Friedman Rudovsky Cross-newsroom collaborations strengthen communities
Rick Berke The year of loyalty
Ståle Grut A new dawn for 3D tech in journalism
Jeremy Gilbert AI finally becomes helpful
Eric Nuzum The year of the DIY podcast network
Heba Aly The rise of international nonprofit news
Renée Kaplan Our future could lie within our own organizations
Ernie Smith The year we step back from the platform
Stephanie Edgerly It’s time to understand the un-audience
Thomas Hanitzsch The rise of tribal journalism
Adam Thomas In Europe, foundations invest in news
Ben Smith The pendulum starts to swing back
Nisha Chittal The homepage makes a comeback
Catalina Albeanu Being responsible for what we don’t know
Craig Newmark The end of “loudspeakers for liars”
Sarah Alvarez Simplify and redistribute
Axie Navas The traffic hunt, CMS battle, and magazine identity crises loom
Rebecca Searles From silos to Swiss Army knife teams
Ariel Zirulnick Participation gets professional
Almar Latour Reported facts, weaponized in service of action
Steve Henn Smart speakers get smarter
Kainaz Amaria We consider who’s behind the camera
Efrat Nechushtai Journalism wants to be your friend, not your teacher
Marie Shanahan Newsrooms take the comments sections back from platforms
Bill Adair Another year fighting Trump’s falsehoods
Charo Henríquez Pivot to journalism
Seth C. Lewis The gap between journalism and research is too wide
Michael Grant More newsrooms experiment their way to success
Jesse Brown Canada’s subsidy for news backfires
Dheerja Kaur A focus on problems, not platforms
Matt Skibinski Quality and reliability are the new currencies for publishers
Elva Ramirez News — but make it cinematic
Frank Chimero Leave the phone at home and put news on your wrist
Reyhan Harmanci Selling more stories to Hollywood
Moreno Cruz Osório Damaged credibility and a new threat in Brazil
Rishad Patel A design system for responsible publishing
Mandy Velez Putting the social back in social media
M. Scott Havens Time to swing for the fences
Gideon Lichfield Goodbye attention economy, we’ll miss you
Geetika Rudra The year of actionable (local) journalism
Jeff Chin We detox from Chartbeat
Gabriel Snyder Journalism doesn’t fit well in a funnel
Christa Scharfenberg and Vickie Baranetsky The year of the lawsuit
Alexandra Borchardt Newsrooms need to build trust with their journalists, not just the audience
Ruth Palmer and Benjamin Toff From news fatigue to news avoidance
Patrick Butler Measuring impact will increase audience trust
Renan Borelli Developing loyalty means developing your talent
Kelsey Proud Journalism becomes the escape
Jack Riley Facebook refugees, from ad revenue to news habits
Simon Rogers Data journalism becomes a global field
Heather Bryant We are responsible for how we use our power
Mariana Moura Santos From pageviews to impact
Eric Ulken The year you actually start to like your CMS
Knight Foundation A year of local collaboration
Meredith Artley Huge demand for…anything but politics
Elisabeth Goodridge Yes, they signed up — but our job’s not over
John Saroff The pivot to reader revenue’s unintended consequences
Shannon McGregor More bogus embedded tweets in our stories
Bill Grueskin Toward a symphony model for local news
Manoush Zomorodi Tech will do for information overload what it did for mindfulness
Rachel Glickhouse Newsrooms will prioritize audience needs
Monique Judge Committing to the truth, calling out lies
Cindy Royal For journalism curriculum to change, its faculty needs disruption