I made my first one of these predictions five years ago, and I’m sorry to say I pulled my punch back then.
When asked what I wanted to see in 2019, I wrote that I wanted those of us working in news to focus on the needs of our communities and redistribute our power. It’s a good practice, but even then it was far too weak of an ask. It’s certainly not enough now.
I didn’t hope back then for much more than a little change around the edges of the news industry. I was running a two-person local news project with a completely inadequate budget, and I was overly preoccupied by everyone else’s relative strengths. But budget size is not everything. In the past few years, so many local reporters have worked themselves to unprecedented levels of burnout, only to be laid off or have their newsrooms shuttered anyway. Outside of the success and growth of a few national brands like The New York Times, The Washington Post, and The Atlantic, the for-profit giants of the past are failing too quickly and completely for the idea of a “news industry” to be anything but nostalgia.
In the years since that first prediction, many of us who work in local news have lost patience with looking backwards and are working instead to envision and help build healthy and resilient local civic information infrastructure. We are so far out of the gate that, regardless what anyone predicts on these pages or anywhere else, a more networked, more responsive, more representative, more resilient and less profit-motivated future is here. For-profit newsrooms and tech platforms will of course be part of this infrastructure, but there’s no need for them to be at the center.
I’ve been part of a group for the past five years that we more recently started calling FLN, for the Future of Local News. When it started, it was self-organized and very informal, but also a committed group of mostly women, mostly people of color running or serving local news organizations. We shared strategy and resources — even money. We tried to coordinate our messages about what high-quality and service-driven news and information can look like.
That group helped all of us, and so we’ve worked to keep growing it. We also started to formalize and break into working groups to build new programs and tools together, rather than just sharing the assets we already have as individual organizations. Early next year, we’ll make it official in some way, because we need more models of these peer-led communities of practice that help us learn faster, together, and make the most of our resources.
There are plenty of networks like this developing or growing all over the country, and there is room for plenty more. Some are locally based, like in Cleveland. There are coalitions changing practice together in places like Philadelphia. There are under-resourced but just as deserving networks across the South, where this liberation mindset comes from, as Cierra Brown Hinton has taught me. Some of these networks are more distributed, like the Documenters, URL Media, and the Tiny News Collective. Some are associations and intermediaries that could become networks as they lean further into collaboration and put power-building programs like Newsmatch on offer.
There is so much room and so much need for more of these networks. Over the next few years, we are also going to need to open them up to other community assets and information providers, like libraries or schools or groups of engaged citizens. We can find a way to work with these groups without compromising our ethics.
Building more resilient, more inclusive, and healthier civic information systems will of course take a lot more money, a lot more work, and policy change. But more than that, it requires culture change.
Each of us who thinks healthier civic information systems are essential for a healthier democracy and for more equitable communities needs to stop holding back. We all know we’re poised on a precipice where losing democracy and so much more is far too possible. We can no longer pull our punches when it comes to what we allow ourselves to dream and demand for our work and our world. I predict fewer of us will.
Sierra Sangetti-Daniels of City Bureau contributed to this prediction.
Sarah Alvarez is the founder and editor-in-chief of Outlier Media.
I made my first one of these predictions five years ago, and I’m sorry to say I pulled my punch back then.
When asked what I wanted to see in 2019, I wrote that I wanted those of us working in news to focus on the needs of our communities and redistribute our power. It’s a good practice, but even then it was far too weak of an ask. It’s certainly not enough now.
I didn’t hope back then for much more than a little change around the edges of the news industry. I was running a two-person local news project with a completely inadequate budget, and I was overly preoccupied by everyone else’s relative strengths. But budget size is not everything. In the past few years, so many local reporters have worked themselves to unprecedented levels of burnout, only to be laid off or have their newsrooms shuttered anyway. Outside of the success and growth of a few national brands like The New York Times, The Washington Post, and The Atlantic, the for-profit giants of the past are failing too quickly and completely for the idea of a “news industry” to be anything but nostalgia.
In the years since that first prediction, many of us who work in local news have lost patience with looking backwards and are working instead to envision and help build healthy and resilient local civic information infrastructure. We are so far out of the gate that, regardless what anyone predicts on these pages or anywhere else, a more networked, more responsive, more representative, more resilient and less profit-motivated future is here. For-profit newsrooms and tech platforms will of course be part of this infrastructure, but there’s no need for them to be at the center.
I’ve been part of a group for the past five years that we more recently started calling FLN, for the Future of Local News. When it started, it was self-organized and very informal, but also a committed group of mostly women, mostly people of color running or serving local news organizations. We shared strategy and resources — even money. We tried to coordinate our messages about what high-quality and service-driven news and information can look like.
That group helped all of us, and so we’ve worked to keep growing it. We also started to formalize and break into working groups to build new programs and tools together, rather than just sharing the assets we already have as individual organizations. Early next year, we’ll make it official in some way, because we need more models of these peer-led communities of practice that help us learn faster, together, and make the most of our resources.
There are plenty of networks like this developing or growing all over the country, and there is room for plenty more. Some are locally based, like in Cleveland. There are coalitions changing practice together in places like Philadelphia. There are under-resourced but just as deserving networks across the South, where this liberation mindset comes from, as Cierra Brown Hinton has taught me. Some of these networks are more distributed, like the Documenters, URL Media, and the Tiny News Collective. Some are associations and intermediaries that could become networks as they lean further into collaboration and put power-building programs like Newsmatch on offer.
There is so much room and so much need for more of these networks. Over the next few years, we are also going to need to open them up to other community assets and information providers, like libraries or schools or groups of engaged citizens. We can find a way to work with these groups without compromising our ethics.
Building more resilient, more inclusive, and healthier civic information systems will of course take a lot more money, a lot more work, and policy change. But more than that, it requires culture change.
Each of us who thinks healthier civic information systems are essential for a healthier democracy and for more equitable communities needs to stop holding back. We all know we’re poised on a precipice where losing democracy and so much more is far too possible. We can no longer pull our punches when it comes to what we allow ourselves to dream and demand for our work and our world. I predict fewer of us will.
Sierra Sangetti-Daniels of City Bureau contributed to this prediction.
Sarah Alvarez is the founder and editor-in-chief of Outlier Media.
Sarabeth Berman Nonprofit local news shows that it can scale
Tim Carmody Newsletter writers need a new ethics
Ryan Kellett Airline-like loyalty programs try to tie down news readers
Ryan Gantz “I’m sorry, but I’m a large language model”
Mario García More newsrooms go mobile-first
Ståle Grut Your newsroom experiences a Midjourney-gate, too
Amethyst J. Davis The slight of the great contraction
Doris Truong Workers demand to be paid what the job is worth
Eric Ulken Generative AI brings wrongness at scale
Brian Stelter Finding new ways to reach news avoiders
Simon Galperin Philanthropy stops investing in corporate media
Johannes Klingebiel The innovation team, R.I.P.
Brian Moritz Rebuilding the news bundle
Sam Guzik AI will start fact-checking. We may not like the results.
Sue Schardt Toward a new poetics of journalism
Mary Walter-Brown and Tristan Loper Mission-driven metrics become our North Star
Joe Amditis AI throws a lifeline to local publishers
Cindy Royal Yes, journalists should learn to code, but…
Mael Vallejo More threats to press freedom across the Americas
Jesse Holcomb Buffeted, whipped, bullied, pulled
J. Siguru Wahutu American journalism reckons with its colonialist tendencies
Sarah Marshall A web channel strategy won’t be enough
Dannagal G. Young Stop rewarding elite performances of identity threat
Victor Pickard The year journalism and capitalism finally divorce
Emily Nonko Incarcerated reporters get more bylines
S. Mitra Kalita “Everything sucks. Good luck to you.”
Michael W. Wagner The backlash against pro-democracy reporting is coming
Anthony Nadler Confronting media gerrymandering
James Salanga Journalists work from a place of harm reduction
Francesco Zaffarano There is no end of “social media”
Bill Adair The year of the fact-check (no, really!)
Jarrad Henderson Video editing will help people understand the media they consume
Stefanie Murray The year U.S. media stops screwing around and becomes pro-democracy
Tamar Charney Flux is the new stability
Peter Bale Rising costs force more digital innovation
Peter Sterne AI enters the newsroom
Ben Werdmuller The internet is up for grabs again
Hillary Frey Death to the labor-intensive memo for prospective hires
Laura E. Davis The year we embrace the robots — and ourselves
Khushbu Shah Global reporting will suffer
Jennifer Choi and Jonathan Jackson Funders finally bet on next-generation news entrepreneurs
Elite Truong In platform collapse, an opportunity for community
Priyanjana Bengani Partisan local news networks will collaborate
Jonas Kaiser Rejecting the “free speech” frame
Shanté Cosme The answer to “quiet quitting” is radical empathy
Rodney Gibbs Recalibrating how we work apart
Dana Lacey Tech will screw publishers over
Andrew Donohue We’ll find out whether journalism can, indeed, save democracy
Lisa Heyamoto The independent news industry gets a roadmap to sustainability
Kerri Hoffman Podcasting goes local
Sarah Stonbely Growth in public funding for news and information at the state and local levels
Cari Nazeer and Emily Goligoski News organizations step up their support for caregivers
Basile Simon Towards supporting criminal accountability
Jessica Maddox Journalists keep getting manipulated by internet culture
John Davidow A year of intergenerational learning
Delano Massey The industry shakes its imposter syndrome
Valérie Bélair-Gagnon Well-being will become a core tenet of journalism
Kirstin McCudden We’ll codify protection of journalism and newsgathering
Daniel Trielli Trust in news will continue to fall. Just look at Brazil.
Dominic-Madori Davis Everyone finally realizes the need for diverse voices in tech reporting
Joanne McNeil Facebook and the media kiss and make up
Richard Tofel The press might get better at vetting presidential candidates
Jim Friedlich Local journalism steps up to the challenge of civic coverage
Andrew Losowsky Journalism realizes the replacement for Twitter is not a new Twitter
Jennifer Brandel AI couldn’t care less. Journalists will care more.
Kavya Sukumar Belling the cat: The rise of independent fact-checking at scale
Eric Holthaus As social media fragments, marginalized voices gain more power
Sumi Aggarwal Smart newsrooms will prioritize board development
Kaitlin C. Miller Harassment in journalism won’t get better, but we’ll talk about it more openly
Pia Frey Publishers start polling their users at scale
Cassandra Etienne Local news fellowships will help fight newsroom inequities
A.J. Bauer Covering the right wrong
Bill Grueskin Local news will come to rely on AI
Alex Sujong Laughlin Credit where it’s due
Burt Herman The year AI truly arrives — and with it the reckoning
Jakob Moll Journalism startups will think beyond English
Elizabeth Bramson-Boudreau More of the same
Tre'vell Anderson Continued culpability in anti-trans campaigns
Sue Robinson Engagement journalism will have to confront a tougher reality
Gina Chua The traditional story structure gets deconstructed
Christoph Mergerson The rot at the core of the news business
Paul Cheung More news organizations will realize they are in the business of impact, not eyeballs
Jim VandeHei There is no “peak newsletter”
Kathy Lu We need emotionally agile newsroom leaders
Al Lucca Digital news design gets interesting again
Anita Varma Journalism prioritizes the basic need for survival
Felicitas Carrique and Becca Aaronson News product goes from trend to standard
Mar Cabra The inevitable mental health revolution
Barbara Raab More journalism funders will take more risks
Jacob L. Nelson Despite it all, people will still want to be journalists
Zizi Papacharissi Platforms are over
Don Day The news about the news is bad. I’m optimistic.
Ariel Zirulnick Journalism doubles down on user needs
Larry Ryckman We’ll work together with our competitors
Alan Henry A reckoning with why trust in news is so low
Mariana Moura Santos A woman who speaks is a woman who changes the world
Amy Schmitz Weiss Journalism education faces a crossroads
Nicholas Jackson There will be launches — and we’ll keep doing the work
Danielle K. Brown and Kathleen Searles DEI efforts must consider mental health and online abuse
Matt Rasnic More newsroom workers turn to organized labor
Errin Haines Journalists on the campaign trail mend trust with the public
Karina Montoya More reporters on the antitrust beat
Wilson Liévano Diaspora journalism takes the next step
Upasna Gautam Technology that performs at the speed of news
Julia Beizer News fatigue shows us a clear path forward
Joshua P. Darr Local to live, wire to wither
Emma Carew Grovum The year to resist forgetting about diversity
Megan Lucero and Shirish Kulkarni The future of journalism is not you
Sarah Alvarez Dream bigger or lose out
Gabe Schneider Well-funded journalism leaders stop making disparate pay
Anika Anand Independent news businesses lead the way on healthy work cultures
Molly de Aguiar and Mandy Van Deven Narrative change trend brings new money to journalism
Raney Aronson-Rath Journalists will band together to fight intimidation
Rachel Glickhouse Humanizing newsrooms will be a badge of honor
Ayala Panievsky It’s time for PR for journalism
Josh Schwartz The AI spammers are coming
Esther Kezia Thorpe Subscription pressures force product innovation
Julia Angwin Democracies will get serious about saving journalism
Jaden Amos TikTok personality journalists continue to rise
Nicholas Thompson The year AI actually changes the media business
Janet Haven ChatGPT and the future of trust
Eric Thurm Journalists think of themselves as workers
David Skok Renewed interest in human-powered reporting
Juleyka Lantigua Newsrooms recognize women of color as the canaries in the coal mine
Leezel Tanglao Community partnerships drive better reporting
Anna Nirmala News organizations get new structures
Surya Mattu Data journalists learn from photojournalists
Jessica Clark Open discourse retrenches
Parker Molloy We’ll reach new heights of moral panic
Nik Usher This is the year of the RSS reader. (Really!)
Cory Bergman The AI content flood
Eric Nuzum A focus on people instead of power
Moreno Cruz Osório Brazilian journalism turns wounds into action
Alexandra Svokos Working harder to reach audiences where they are
Laxmi Parthasarathy Unlocking the silent demand for international journalism
Joni Deutsch Podcast collaboration — not competition — breeds excellence
Michael Schudson Journalism gets more and more difficult
Kaitlyn Wells We’ll prioritize media literacy for children
Walter Frick Journalists wake up to the power of prediction markets
Ryan Nave Citizen journalism, but make it equitable
AX Mina Journalism in a time of permacrisis
David Cohn AI made this prediction
Martina Efeyini Talk to Gen Z. They’re the experts of Gen Z.
Snigdha Sur Newsrooms get nimble in a recession
Nicholas Diakopoulos Journalists productively harness generative AI tools
Gordon Crovitz The year advertisers stop funding misinformation
Sue Cross Thinking and acting collectively to save the news
Jody Brannon We’ll embrace policy remedies
Christina Shih Shared values move from nice-to-haves to essentials
Sam Gregory Synthetic media forces us to understand how media gets made
Susan Chira Equipping local journalism
Jenna Weiss-Berman The economic downturn benefits the podcasting industry. (No, really!)
Alexandra Borchardt The year of the climate journalism strategy
Masuma Ahuja Journalism starts working for and with its communities
Mauricio Cabrera It’s no longer about audiences, it’s about communities