The intellectual equivalent of the Dead Sea

“Soon the only discourse available will be about the most outrageous, instinct-punching statements, free of fact or reasoned debate, and the only people who will remain are those who seek nothing but self-validation and protection from criticism.”

In our prediction for 2016, Alexis Lloyd and I wrote about the importance of private social networks. Specifically, we identified a trend where information was increasingly being shared in places that were not publicly accessible, searchable, or discoverable. While this was true, and did have significant impacts — from formalized systems like Slack and Snapchat that continued to grow in importance, to ad hoc systems like the whisper networks of women who protect each other from predatory behavior in their workplaces — the biggest example of this phenomenon was not chosen by its users. Rather, it was imposed on users invisibly, by design and by algorithm.

Whether it be a Twitter user who only follows like-minded accounts, or a Facebook user whose experience is sheltered from opposing thought by platform’s algorithms, spaces that could be used to share intelligent thought are becoming isolated and increasingly toxic. The outcome is the intellectual equivalent of the Dead Sea: an environment cut off from inflows or outflows, slowly becoming less and less habitable to life, until all that are left are the hardiest extremophiles.

Usage of Facebook has begun to decline as the conversations there become more and more toxic. Have your social media person show you the comments on your Facebook posts and videos sometime; you may be surprised at what people are willing to say next to their real names and pictures. Soon the only discourse available will be about the most outrageous, instinct-punching statements, free of fact or reasoned debate, and the only people who will remain are those who seek nothing but self-validation and protection from criticism.

What we can do as journalists is to demand systems that provide readers with the unexpected, that which surprises and challenges them. Facebook has the power to do this already, if they chose; so do the recommendation algorithms many news sites use. NPR One pioneered this work years ago, occasionally inserting stories into a listener’s feed that fell outside of their typical pattern. Critically, it also ensured that if a correction to a piece was made, those who listened to the original story also heard the correction.

The maddening thing about this situation is that news organizations have historically been very good at showing people novel information, and at challenging their assumptions. The very layout of the newspaper encouraged discovery and serendipity, qualities that most online news experiences lack. Rather than put additional thought and design around supporting those qualities, many publishers have built and bought the same “people like you also read” recommendations the platforms pioneered.

In short, both platform and publisher sites, and the algorithms they employ, have been designed to optimize for engagement: time spent, likes, shares, and comments. By adding information diversity as a consideration, readers will be better informed and publishers’ relationships with them will deepen. Focusing on information diversity will unlock real value, both economically and societally. As things stand now, these filters fail at the most basic value a news organization can provide — “Tell me something I don’t know” — in favor of a far more dangerous value: “Tell me what I want to hear.”

Matt Boggie is chief technology officer at Axios.

Kawandeep Virdee   Zines had it right all along

Sara M. Watson   Feeds will open up to new user-determined filters

Nicholas Diakopoulos   Fortifying social media from automated inauthenticity

Jesse Holcomb   Information disorder, coming to a congressional district near you

Ray Soto   VR reaches the next level

Kinsey Wilson   Facebook and Google: Help out or pay up

Kristen Muller   The year of the voter

Ernst-Jan Pfauth   Publishing less to give readers more

Marcela Donini and Thiago Herdy   Collaboration is the way forward for Brazilian journalism

Alexios Mantzarlis   Moving fake news research out of the lab

Nushin Rashidian   Publishers seek ad dollar alternatives

Caitlin Thompson   Podcasting models mature and diversify

Rubina Madan Fillion   Unlocking the potential of AI

Alastair Coote   The year of self-improvement

Jim Moroney   Newspapers have to be good enough for readers to pay for

Heather Bryant   Building the ecosystems for collaboration

Sue Schardt   Jump the niche

Joyce Barnathan   It will be harder to bury the news

Vanessa K. DeLuca   Women’s voices take center stage

Kelsey Proud   No, no, no

Alfred Hermida   Going beyond mobile-first

Tim Carmody   Watch out for Spotify

Raney Aronson-Rath   Transparency is the antidote to fake news

Mike Caulfield   Refactoring media literacy for the networked age

Juleyka Lantigua   Women of color will reclaim and monetize our time

Tanya Cordrey   Finally, the seeds of radical reinvention

Sam Sanders   Shine the light on ourselves

Valérie Bélair-Gagnon   Seeking trust in fragmented spaces

Jennifer Brandel and Mónica Guzmán   The editorial meeting of the future

Kyle Ellis   Let’s build our way out of this

John Keefe   Scooped by AI

Matt Thompson   Here come the attention managers

Evie Nagy   Pivot to mobile video frustration

Umbreen Bhatti   The trust problem isn’t new

Mary Walter-Brown   Show a little vulnerability

Betsy O'Donovan and Melody Kramer   Skepticism and narcissism

Mi-Ai Parrish   Blockchain and trust

Zizi Papacharissi   Women come back

C.W. Anderson   The social media apocalypse

Dheerja Kaur   Fun with subscription products

Adam Thomas   Sharing is caring: The year of the mentor

Jared Newman   Venture funding and digital news don’t mix

Trushar Barot   The Jio-fication of India

S. Mitra Kalita   The arc of news and audience

AX Mina   Memes and visuals come to the fore

Rick Berke   Value is the watchword

Susie Banikarim   R.I.P. Pivot to Video (2017–2017)

Jennifer Coogan   The future is female

Michelle Ferrier   The year of the great reckoning

Tamar Charney   We get serious about algorithms

Edward Roussel   Eyes, ears, and brains

Manoush Zomorodi   Self-help as a publishing strategy

Dan Newman   A return to trust

Carlos Martínez de la Serna   The new journalism commons

Eric Nuzum   Beyond the narrative arc

Sally Lehrman   Trust comes first

Amy King   Let’s amplify visual voice

Luke O'Neil   The end is already here

Paul Ford   Go global

Matt DeRienzo   A recession, then a collapse

Federica Cherubini   The rise of bridge roles in news organizations

Mary Meehan   Real lives are at stake in rural areas

Almar Latour   Conquering calm

Dan Shanoff   You down with OTT? (Yeah, DTC)

Damon Krukowski   Reviving the alt-weekly soul

Mariana Moura Santos   Think local, act global

Eric Ulken   The year local publishers get smart(er) about change

Usha Sahay   Wallets get opened

Aron Pilhofer   We can’t leave the business to the business side any more

Tracie Powell   The muting of underserved voices

Ståle Grut   Reclaiming audience interaction from social networks

Basile Simon   We need better career paths for news nerds

Amy Webb   Listen to weak signals

Nikki Usher   The year of The Washington Post

Pia Frey   Address users as individuals

Rachel Schallom   Better design helps differentiate opinion and news

Pablo Boczkowski   The rise of skeptical reading

Jessica Parker Gilbert   Design connects storytelling and strategy

Justin Kosslyn   The year journalists become digital security experts

Joanne McNeil   Gatekeeping the gatekeepers

Cory Haik   Suffering from realness, pivoting to impact

Mira Lowe   The year of the local watchdog

Cindy Royal   Your journalism curriculum is obsolete

Hannah Cassius   The year of the echo-chamber escapists

Amie Ferris-Rotman   More female reporters abroad (please)

Jennifer Choi   Standing up for us and for each other

Errin Haines   At the ballot, it’s time to count black women

Pete Brown   Push alerts, personalized

Kim Fox   Audience teams diversify their approach

Rodney Benson   Better, less read, and less trusted

Craig Newmark   Working together toward sustainable solutions

Monique Judge   Letting black women tell their own stories

Felix Salmon   Covering bitcoin while owning bitcoin

Vivian Schiller   Pivot to tomorrow

Dannagal G. Young   Stop covering politics as a game

Francesco Marconi   The year of machine-to-machine journalism

Richard Tofel   The platforms’ power demands more reporters’ attention

Nathalie Malinarich   Peak push

Frédéric Filloux   External forces

Claire Wardle   Disinformation gets worse

Mariano Blejman   News games rule

Burt Herman   Things get real

Millie Tran and Stine Bauer Dahlberg   (Hint: It’s about your brand)

Emily Goligoski   Looking beyond news for inspiration

Nicholas Quah   Stop talking trash about young people

Jake Levine   The return to now

Lam Thuy Vo   Breaking free from the tyranny of the loudest

Will Sommer   The year local media gets conservative

Ariana Tobin   Too tired to tap

Ruth Palmer   Risks will grow for news subjects — especially minorities

Corey Johnson   The pro-fact resistance

Jamie Mottram   From pageviews to t-shirts

Marie Gilot   No assholes allowed

Imaeyen Ibanga   Longform video leads the way

Neha Gandhi   Filler killers

Jim Brady   With the people, not just of the people

Helen Havlak   Keywords, not publishers, power the world’s biggest feeds

Jarrod Dicker   Honesty in advertising

Christopher Meighan   Passive partnership is in the rearview

P. Kim Bui   The reckoning is only beginning

David Skok   Finding an information-life balance

Rachel Davis Mersey   AI, with real smarts

Mario García   Storytelling finally adapts to mobile

Matt Carlson   Attacks on the press will get worse

Niketa Patel   Live journalism comes of age

Andrew Losowsky   The year of resilience

Lanre Akinola   Making noise is not a strategy

Lucas Graves   From algorithms to institutions

Alan Soon   The rise of start of psychographic, micro-targeted media

Kathleen McElroy   Building a news video experience native to mobile

Caitria O'Neill   The new court of public opinion

Monika Bauerlein   The firehose of falsehood

Tanzina Vega   It’s time for media companies to #PassTheMic

Debra Adams Simmons   And a woman shall lead them

Borja Echevarría   TV goes digital, digital goes TV

Bill Keller   A growing turn to philanthropy

Gordon Crovitz   Serving readers over advertisers

Renée Kaplan   The year of quiet adjustments (shhh)

Julia Beizer   A longer view on the pivot

Daniel Trielli   The rich get richer, the poor scramble

Jacqui Cheng   Retailers move into content

Carrie Brown-Smith   Transparency finally takes off

Hossein Derakhshan   Television has won

Julia B. Chan   Looking for loyalty in all the right places

Yvonne Leow   The rise of video messaging

Rodney Gibbs   Tech workers turn to journalism

Matt Boggie   The intellectual equivalent of the Dead Sea

Joanne Lipman   Journalists inventing revenue streams

Charo Henríquez   Training is an investment, not an expense

Emma Carew Grovum   Newsroom culture becomes a priority

Sydette Harry   Listen to your corner and watch for the hook

Molly de Aguiar   Good journalism won’t be enough

Miguel Castro   The arrival of the impact producer

Feli Sánchez   The year for guerrilla user research

Rasmus Kleis Nielsen   The Snapchat scenario and the risk of more closed platforms

Steve Grove   The midterms are an opportunity

Sarah Marshall   Loyalty as the key performance indicator

Elizabeth Jensen   Show your work

Brian Lam   Sketchy ethics around product reviews

Sam Ford   The year of investing in processes

Corey Ford   The empire strikes back

Andrew Haeg   The year journalists become relationship builders

Michelle Garcia   Navigating journalistic transparency

Nancy Watzman   Know thy TV

José Zamora   Revenue-first journalism

Raju Narisetti   Mirror, mirror on the wall

Jassim Ahmad   Thriving on change

Alice Antheaume   Are you fluent in AI?

Doris Truong   Computer vision vs. the Internet vigilantes

Laura E. Davis   Writing answers before you know the question

Mandy Velez   texting is lit rn, fam

Andrew Ramsammy   The year ownership mattered

Michael Kuntz   The only pivot that might work

Taylor Lorenz   Social and media will split

Juliette De Maeyer   A responsible press criticism

Cristina Wilson   The year of the Instagram Story