Let’s face it: Digital news publishers have little reason to feel optimistic heading into 2018. There’s no shortage of ominous headlines or hot takes from the pundits and media prognosticators who, despite the fact that digital advertising will surpass $90 billion in the U.S. in the coming year, are predicting more pain for publishers.
Only 15 years ago, before the hyper-migration to digital began and a wave of consolidation swept across the print media space, U.S.-based newspapers raked in $67 billion in advertising. As many traditional publishers and newsrooms began to transform their businesses (and continue to do so today), meaningful digital advertising growth proved elusive to most, simultaneously contending with both the fickle demands of the marketplace and having to support an inordinate number of online publishers, platforms, and adtech companies.
Then came along a slew of “digital natives,” backed largely by venture capitalists, and the promise to invent a new publishing model. They stood up modern websites, relied on the social web for content distribution, and chased audiences and advertising businesses that could flourish, free from the shackles of a legacy business. Or so they thought. In reality, what many of these startups succeeded in doing was to launch new media properties, in an already over-crowded space, and produce content the world never needed. If companies like Mic, NowThis News, or even BuzzFeed never existed, would the state of news and journalism in this country look any different?
It’s easy to blame the platform monopolies for publishers’ quandaries, but it’s time to also acknowledge that there are simply too many of us in the digital news space. Digital ad spending continues to soar, but the lion’s share remains hijacked by a handful of companies, and exceedingly, gets vacuumed into the programmatic abyss. But if there’s one silver lining, it’s this: For too long, an excessive number of VC-backed publishers and adtech companies have been able to survive by siphoning off the digital advertising hose. Those days are winding down, however, and 2018 will be a year of reckoning for many. We are already seeing it via reports of missed revenue forecasts, shrinking company valuations, big M&A activity, and of course, pivots!
In today’s digital news economy, either you are a buyer or a seller. It’s time to decide which you are, and act accordingly; getting caught somewhere in between means being dealt a knockout blow, and the VCs won’t pull you off the ropes. 2018 will be all about pivoting towards consolidation, and creating strength-in-numbers alliances. That’s likely a good thing, as it should open up wider lanes for many heritage-based news publishers to maneuver. Those who can look past the headlines and sprint towards the opportunities.
Michael Kuntz is president of advertising sales and brand partnerships for the USA Today Network.
Dannagal G. Young Stop covering politics as a game
Mandy Velez texting is lit rn, fam
Doris Truong Computer vision vs. the Internet vigilantes
Monika Bauerlein The firehose of falsehood
Bill Keller A growing turn to philanthropy
Julia B. Chan Looking for loyalty in all the right places
Francesco Marconi The year of machine-to-machine journalism
Ruth Palmer Risks will grow for news subjects — especially minorities
P. Kim Bui The reckoning is only beginning
Helen Havlak Keywords, not publishers, power the world’s biggest feeds
Tamar Charney We get serious about algorithms
Kawandeep Virdee Zines had it right all along
Mariano Blejman News games rule
Cory Haik Suffering from realness, pivoting to impact
Lanre Akinola Making noise is not a strategy
Rachel Davis Mersey AI, with real smarts
Lucas Graves From algorithms to institutions
Joanne McNeil Gatekeeping the gatekeepers
Renée Kaplan The year of quiet adjustments (shhh)
Damon Krukowski Reviving the alt-weekly soul
Mary Walter-Brown Show a little vulnerability
Caitlin Thompson Podcasting models mature and diversify
Alan Soon The rise of start of psychographic, micro-targeted media
Dheerja Kaur Fun with subscription products
Sam Sanders Shine the light on ourselves
Mario García Storytelling finally adapts to mobile
Kinsey Wilson Facebook and Google: Help out or pay up
Pete Brown Push alerts, personalized
Federica Cherubini The rise of bridge roles in news organizations
Susie Banikarim R.I.P. Pivot to Video (2017–2017)
Tracie Powell The muting of underserved voices
Michelle Ferrier The year of the great reckoning
Juleyka Lantigua-Williams Women of color will reclaim and monetize our time
Trushar Barot The Jio-fication of India
Imaeyen Ibanga Longform video leads the way
Emily Goligoski Looking beyond news for inspiration
Sarah Marshall Loyalty as the key performance indicator
Vanessa K. DeLuca Women’s voices take center stage
Rodney Benson Better, less read, and less trusted
Brian Lam Sketchy ethics around product reviews
Nicholas Diakopoulos Fortifying social media from automated inauthenticity
Jared Newman Venture funding and digital news don’t mix
Steve Grove The midterms are an opportunity
Dan Shanoff You down with OTT? (Yeah, DTC)
Sam Ford The year of investing in processes
Jamie Mottram From pageviews to t-shirts
Justin Kosslyn The year journalists become digital security experts
Michelle Garcia Navigating journalistic transparency
Amy King Let’s amplify visual voice
Corey Johnson The pro-fact resistance
Debra Adams Simmons And a woman shall lead them
Alastair Coote The year of self-improvement
Yvonne Leow The rise of video messaging
David Skok Finding an information-life balance
Manoush Zomorodi Self-help as a publishing strategy
Eric Nuzum Beyond the narrative arc
Carrie Brown-Smith Transparency finally takes off
Jennifer Coogan The future is female
Michael Kuntz The only pivot that might work
Amie Ferris-Rotman More female reporters abroad (please)
Caitria O'Neill The new court of public opinion
Edward Roussel Eyes, ears, and brains
Jesse Holcomb Information disorder, coming to a congressional district near you
Joanne Lipman Journalists inventing revenue streams
Pia Frey Address users as individuals
Rodney Gibbs Tech workers turn to journalism
L. Gordon Crovitz Serving readers over advertisers
Zizi Papacharissi Women come back
Jassim Ahmad Thriving on change
Errin Haines At the ballot, it’s time to count black women
Monique Judge Letting black women tell their own stories
Mariana Moura Santos Think local, act global
Jennifer Brandel and Mónica Guzmán The editorial meeting of the future
Cristina Wilson The year of the Instagram Story
Kyle Ellis Let’s build our way out of this
Feli Sánchez The year for guerrilla user research
S. Mitra Kalita The arc of news and audience
Joyce Barnathan It will be harder to bury the news
Ståle Grut Reclaiming audience interaction from social networks
Luke O'Neil The end is already here
Kathleen McElroy Building a news video experience native to mobile
An Xiao Mina Memes and visuals come to the fore
Jacqui Cheng Retailers move into content
Alice Antheaume Are you fluent in AI?
Sally Lehrman Trust comes first
Jim Moroney Newspapers have to be good enough for readers to pay for
Nicholas Quah Stop talking trash about young people
Raju Narisetti Mirror, mirror on the wall
Ernst-Jan Pfauth Publishing less to give readers more
Rubina Madan Fillion Unlocking the potential of AI
Matt Boggie The intellectual equivalent of the Dead Sea
Jim Brady With the people, not just of the people
Rachel Schallom Better design helps differentiate opinion and news
Marcela Donini and Thiago Herdy Collaboration is the way forward for Brazilian journalism
Corey Ford The empire strikes back
C.W. Anderson The social media apocalypse
Aron Pilhofer We can’t leave the business to the business side any more
Ray Soto VR reaches the next level
Basile Simon We need better career paths for news nerds
Juliette De Maeyer A responsible press criticism
Umbreen Bhatti The trust problem isn’t new
Molly de Aguiar Good journalism won’t be enough
Amy Webb Listen to weak signals
Borja Echevarría TV goes digital, digital goes TV
Andrew Losowsky The year of resilience
Matt Thompson Here come the attention managers
Valérie Bélair-Gagnon Seeking trust in fragmented spaces
Nikki Usher The year of The Washington Post
Emma Carew Grovum Newsroom culture becomes a priority
Claire Wardle Disinformation gets worse
Marie Gilot No assholes allowed
Mary Meehan Real lives are at stake in rural areas
Mike Caulfield Refactoring media literacy for the networked age
Felix Salmon Covering bitcoin while owning bitcoin
Rasmus Kleis Nielsen The Snapchat scenario and the risk of more closed platforms
Elizabeth Jensen Show your work
Laura E. Davis Writing answers before you know the question
Jarrod Dicker Honesty in advertising
Vivian Schiller Pivot to tomorrow
José Zamora Revenue-first journalism
Sydette Harry Listen to your corner and watch for the hook
Richard J. Tofel The platforms’ power demands more reporters’ attention
Hannah Cassius The year of the echo-chamber escapists
Nushin Rashidian Publishers seek ad dollar alternatives
Adam Thomas Sharing is caring: The year of the mentor
Tanzina Vega It’s time for media companies to #PassTheMic
Jessica Parker Gilbert Design connects storytelling and strategy
Frédéric Filloux External forces
Andrew Ramsammy The year ownership mattered
Alexios Mantzarlis Moving fake news research out of the lab
Christopher Meighan Passive partnership is in the rearview
Sara M. Watson Feeds will open up to new user-determined filters
Matt DeRienzo A recession, then a collapse
Alfred Hermida Going beyond mobile-first
Mira Lowe The year of the local watchdog
Craig Newmark Working together toward sustainable solutions
Heather Bryant Building the ecosystems for collaboration
Rick Berke Value is the watchword
Raney Aronson-Rath Transparency is the antidote to fake news
Will Sommer The year local media gets conservative
Taylor Lorenz Social and media will split
Mi-Ai Parrish Blockchain and trust
Daniel Trielli The rich get richer, the poor scramble
Hossein Derakhshan Television has won
Cindy Royal Your journalism curriculum is obsolete
Miguel Castro The arrival of the impact producer
Charo Henríquez Training is an investment, not an expense
Andrew Haeg The year journalists become relationship builders
Pablo Boczkowski The rise of skeptical reading
Julia Beizer A longer view on the pivot
Jennifer Choi Standing up for us and for each other
Niketa Patel Live journalism comes of age
Eric Ulken The year local publishers get smart(er) about change
Kim Fox Audience teams diversify their approach
Evie Nagy Pivot to mobile video frustration
Tim Carmody Watch out for Spotify
Lam Thuy Vo Breaking free from the tyranny of the loudest
Tanya Cordrey Finally, the seeds of radical reinvention
Carlos Martínez de la Serna The new journalism commons
Millie Tran and Stine Bauer Dahlberg (Hint: It’s about your brand)