Let’s face it: Digital news publishers have little reason to feel optimistic heading into 2018. There’s no shortage of ominous headlines or hot takes from the pundits and media prognosticators who, despite the fact that digital advertising will surpass $90 billion in the U.S. in the coming year, are predicting more pain for publishers.
Only 15 years ago, before the hyper-migration to digital began and a wave of consolidation swept across the print media space, U.S.-based newspapers raked in $67 billion in advertising. As many traditional publishers and newsrooms began to transform their businesses (and continue to do so today), meaningful digital advertising growth proved elusive to most, simultaneously contending with both the fickle demands of the marketplace and having to support an inordinate number of online publishers, platforms, and adtech companies.
Then came along a slew of “digital natives,” backed largely by venture capitalists, and the promise to invent a new publishing model. They stood up modern websites, relied on the social web for content distribution, and chased audiences and advertising businesses that could flourish, free from the shackles of a legacy business. Or so they thought. In reality, what many of these startups succeeded in doing was to launch new media properties, in an already over-crowded space, and produce content the world never needed. If companies like Mic, NowThis News, or even BuzzFeed never existed, would the state of news and journalism in this country look any different?
It’s easy to blame the platform monopolies for publishers’ quandaries, but it’s time to also acknowledge that there are simply too many of us in the digital news space. Digital ad spending continues to soar, but the lion’s share remains hijacked by a handful of companies, and exceedingly, gets vacuumed into the programmatic abyss. But if there’s one silver lining, it’s this: For too long, an excessive number of VC-backed publishers and adtech companies have been able to survive by siphoning off the digital advertising hose. Those days are winding down, however, and 2018 will be a year of reckoning for many. We are already seeing it via reports of missed revenue forecasts, shrinking company valuations, big M&A activity, and of course, pivots!
In today’s digital news economy, either you are a buyer or a seller. It’s time to decide which you are, and act accordingly; getting caught somewhere in between means being dealt a knockout blow, and the VCs won’t pull you off the ropes. 2018 will be all about pivoting towards consolidation, and creating strength-in-numbers alliances. That’s likely a good thing, as it should open up wider lanes for many heritage-based news publishers to maneuver. Those who can look past the headlines and sprint towards the opportunities.
Michael Kuntz is president of advertising sales and brand partnerships for the USA Today Network.
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Gordon Crovitz Serving readers over advertisers
Joanne McNeil Gatekeeping the gatekeepers
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Amie Ferris-Rotman More female reporters abroad (please)
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Elizabeth Jensen Show your work
Jim Brady With the people, not just of the people
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Michelle Garcia Navigating journalistic transparency
Adam Thomas Sharing is caring: The year of the mentor
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Caitlin Thompson Podcasting models mature and diversify
Kim Fox Audience teams diversify their approach
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Eric Ulken The year local publishers get smart(er) about change
Trushar Barot The Jio-fication of India
Andrew Losowsky The year of resilience
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Richard Tofel The platforms’ power demands more reporters’ attention
Mariano Blejman News games rule
Yvonne Leow The rise of video messaging
Pia Frey Address users as individuals
Ståle Grut Reclaiming audience interaction from social networks
Juleyka Lantigua Women of color will reclaim and monetize our time
Tanzina Vega It’s time for media companies to #PassTheMic
Damon Krukowski Reviving the alt-weekly soul
Lanre Akinola Making noise is not a strategy
Mario García Storytelling finally adapts to mobile
Taylor Lorenz Social and media will split
José Zamora Revenue-first journalism
Nikki Usher The year of The Washington Post
Jessica Parker Gilbert Design connects storytelling and strategy
Christopher Meighan Passive partnership is in the rearview
Feli Sánchez The year for guerrilla user research
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Mi-Ai Parrish Blockchain and trust
Dannagal G. Young Stop covering politics as a game
Bill Keller A growing turn to philanthropy
Carrie Brown-Smith Transparency finally takes off
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Amy Webb Listen to weak signals
Felix Salmon Covering bitcoin while owning bitcoin
Tanya Cordrey Finally, the seeds of radical reinvention
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Ray Soto VR reaches the next level
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Jennifer Coogan The future is female
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Rodney Benson Better, less read, and less trusted
Kyle Ellis Let’s build our way out of this
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Steve Grove The midterms are an opportunity
Ruth Palmer Risks will grow for news subjects — especially minorities
Charo Henríquez Training is an investment, not an expense
Valérie Bélair-Gagnon Seeking trust in fragmented spaces
Matt Carlson Attacks on the press will get worse
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Alexios Mantzarlis Moving fake news research out of the lab
Tim Carmody Watch out for Spotify
Amy King Let’s amplify visual voice
Millie Tran and Stine Bauer Dahlberg (Hint: It’s about your brand)
Matt DeRienzo A recession, then a collapse
Carlos Martínez de la Serna The new journalism commons
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Sarah Marshall Loyalty as the key performance indicator
Monika Bauerlein The firehose of falsehood
Molly de Aguiar Good journalism won’t be enough
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Tracie Powell The muting of underserved voices
Jassim Ahmad Thriving on change
Laura E. Davis Writing answers before you know the question
Susie Banikarim R.I.P. Pivot to Video (2017–2017)
Cory Haik Suffering from realness, pivoting to impact
Alastair Coote The year of self-improvement
Andrew Haeg The year journalists become relationship builders
Renée Kaplan The year of quiet adjustments (shhh)
Tamar Charney We get serious about algorithms
Michael Kuntz The only pivot that might work
Vivian Schiller Pivot to tomorrow
Sally Lehrman Trust comes first
Julia Beizer A longer view on the pivot
Matt Boggie The intellectual equivalent of the Dead Sea
Cindy Royal Your journalism curriculum is obsolete
Frédéric Filloux External forces
Errin Haines At the ballot, it’s time to count black women
Dan Shanoff You down with OTT? (Yeah, DTC)
Federica Cherubini The rise of bridge roles in news organizations
Aron Pilhofer We can’t leave the business to the business side any more
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